Hey everybody. It’s Michael Martin. Thank you for being here from time to time, which means a few times per week, I get a email from usually more than one person saying, Hey, I see hogs are inverted. How should I trade this? Or I’m thinking about getting long gold here. What do you think? Or any other ticker doesn’t have to be commodities or futures? And I typically don’t respond to those emails, not to be a jerk, but because I feel like what I advocate here is, is helping people stand on their own two feet without any outside assistance, because my psychology and emotional intelligence cannot help you manage risk with your own positions in trades or nor in, in investments.
And so I’m, my advocacy is to help you become an independent thinker and not rely on anybody, which is kind of why I say to bring a few episodes into sharp relief, stay off of social media, even though it’s fun. Just train yourself to stay off it. Right? Same thing with television. I try, I don’t make fun of Kramer. I use Jim Kramer because he’s a very well known guy. He’s also terribly brilliant. All right, you have to do your own research, but he’s super smart. He knows information on some three, 4,000 stocks off top of his head. That’s not something that a stupid person would be able to do. So when I mention him, it’s not to throw shade at him. It’s just to use him as an example. Cause I think most everybody who’s in this business is aware of who he is.
And so I can’t buy or sell anything because of what he’s doing. And if I do have an idea because I’m following a certain type of chart pattern or setup, right? I, I don’t want to put you in a spot where you should go looking for emotional support to see what everybody else is doing. That’s irrelevant. So if you feel insecure about what you’re about to endeavor, you might want to take a step back and say, okay, where’s this feeling coming from? Why do I need emotional support from people? I don’t even know because everything under the sun can be tested, right? And I don’t want think about it this way. Why would anyone delegate their research to me? It’s not the business that I’m in. So you can go get your own back testing software. It’s very, very affordable. The professional ones are whatever, maybe a thousand or more, but you know, you get what you pay for.
And if it’s important enough to you, then make the investment in the time of the money and the effort because it is a business and you ought love yourself enough to make that investment. You see? So this is where the coaching comes in because if you can’t find yourself to be able to do that, there’s probably some type of psychological issue or habit that you picked up over the years. That’s stopping you from being an independent thinker. So that can be fixed. It takes a while to do, but any of those types of psychological issues we’re pretty good at, in terms of the coaching, all that notwithstanding though, you really have to go out and plant the seeds, harvest your own names and put the trades on. You also need to know where to get out, right? That’s that’s how you start to have enormous success is to be an independent thinker.
Everybody that I know whether they coached or mentored me, or I read about them in books or met them over the years, they’re all very, very independent. They have their own thoughts. Now they might feed their brains. Some of them, if they’re into like global macro or this and that, and they might know about economics around the world, but ultimately that’s not what compels people. I don’t think to make, buy and sell decisions. because ultimately fundamentals can look okay on paper. But if something’s in a down trend, it’s awfully difficult to make money as a long-only investor or trader when things are in a down trend. And that goes for people who dollar cost average. Dollar cost averaging only works if the thing eventually resumes some type of an uptrend, otherwise yes, it’s true that your, if you put in the same amount of money, mathematically speaking, for example, your average cost will always be below the average price, which is kind of the point of it.
But again, if it doesn’t resume an uptrend, you’re not going to make any money. There’s not a panacea out there. Right? So I would like to just say that opinions don’t matter. Not mine, not anybody else’s when you put on risk, it’s between you and your higher power and there’s no better way to do it than to just do it. And then also calibrate the feelings. That’s why you put the trades on and don’t paper, trade paper, trade doesn’t mean anything. It helps you understand how to work the platform maybe with a dummy account. But if you’re not making and losing real money, you don’t feel the burn. And that’s the whole point of just doing it is so that you can feel the feelings and feel what you feel like when you’re managing real money. because that’s a huge part of being able to calibrate your system. Meaning you, you are the system, right? Your trading rules are just things that you adopt to accelerate the feelings that you want to feel or not feel. Some people like to put themselves in tough spots. So they reach out and bond with other people over boohooing. That’s not what I do. I don’t commiserate with people cause I know it can be fixed. So anyway, if you’re struggling with all of that, take some time out and figure out what you want to do or go to a back tester
And kind of see what the behavior would do over time because that can all be tested. You want to test monthly highs. Perfect. You can test that. You want to test multi-year highs. You could test that too. So just dig in and do the homework, the math and the, and the results will set you free. They’ll either tell you that this trade is not a profitable trade or yes, even though you’ll lose 4, 5, 6, 7 times out of 10, it’s a profitable trade. So at least, you know what the expected outcome is of that particular trade. And then you can calibrate that with your emotional constitution when you put it on and not everything will seem like a flyer because you don’t know what you’re doing. Right. So if you have the data, not the chart pattern, the data sets you free. Okay. So again, I appreciate everyone reaching out and it’s kind of flattering that anyone would care, but ultimately it’s a disservice to talk to you about opinions, about being bullish or bearish or otherwise. So anyway, thanks very much for being here. I will see you tomorrow.
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