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I think you can see now that mindset in many ways is more important than strategy because look, there’s so many ways that you could blend colors, right? At the end of the day, if you don’t have any impulse control, oh, look at this. Here’s a comment. First of all, corruption V one who’s a subscriber. Thank you very much for writing in, has written two comments. One, I just found your channel, and I can already see that you are a complete legend. Of course. Thank you so much for your guidance. If I’m a legend, oh my gosh, thank you so much. I don’t feel like one that was for how to build confidence in your trading. Second comment, just moments ago came in when discomfort is the more beneficial choice. Again, that was last Friday’s episode. I know this sounds crazy, but following my rules is actually my discomfort.
That’s what I’ve been saying for the last whatever, five, six years. It is so hard not to take an impulse trade. So you have to think in that moment. Mindset is more important than strategy. This is a situation where without the strategy, perhaps everything looks really, really good. You know what I’m saying? And you need the impulse control. We talk about gratification. If you’re struggling with this, one of the things that you could do is start to look at price now as the indicator. Why do you get into a trade? What’s your entry signal? If you’re struggling to fight the impulses, set a rule that says, I need to enter If I’m bullish, a trade on a breakout that has a five period high. I have mixed emotions about this, admittedly, because I think when you’re looking at short-term data, it’s very, very random. And I know this type of strategy works in longer type frames, especially daily.
Typically, the longer the better, but you need to set up a rule around your entries so that it stops you, or at least gives you an intellectual understanding of how to stop taking flyers. Because if you have bad impulse control, you could be buying and selling anything on a whim. But if you put in a barrier to entry a speed bump, if you will, that says, okay, whatever it is that you’re looking at that you need to have right now, it needs to make a 10 bar high, 15 bar high, a three day high, something like that. Put some kind of governor on the price because again, we know that lower prices don’t mean better value, right? You’re not a CFA and after diversification momentum is your best friend. If you’re trying to buy momentum stalls because you’re trying to look smart or you think that lower prices bring in more value, you’re probably learning that the hard way, and

It’s not funny. There was a time where I thought that too. I had to test it and it didn’t work for me. But again, the feedback that I get via email and the comments on the site, it leads you to think that mindset is more important than strategy. Because if you had a strategy, here’s the thing, you know that somewhere out there, there’s an equation that has positive expected value. It already exists. The goal for you is to experiment to find which one, so that every day that you come into work and you boot up your machine and all your monitors, whatever you got going lights up. There’s only one trade, and that’s your setup.
Many of you go, I’m just going to go straight to the damn instrument like EINs, MNQ, Russell 2K, because that’s what I trade. I personally think that’s a mistake. If you’re just starting out, I think you need to be much more flexible and much more pluralistic in your universe of instruments because when you can isolate just one setup, whatever that setup may be, head and shoulders, up or down, cupping handles, I don’t care what the hell it is, pick one that resonates with you and then look to find that one setup across as many instruments as you can because there’s a reason why it shows up a lot.
If you go in to find just one instrument, like any of these Dow Mini’s, ES’s MNQ’s, this and that, you could put yourself into a spot where you’re forcing trades because you have the fear of missing out, especially if your buddy was short Nvidia on Friday or long puts and you missed out, and so now you’re pissed. You don’t even know why you’re pissed. You know how you get over that? Go make a big deal over that person. Congratulate them. Take ’em out for beer. Buy ’em lunch, because the goodness that you put out is going to come back to you. If you have animosity around somebody else’s success is a problem, right? It’s not coming from a place of abundance, and that’s a mode of thinking. And in my humble opinion, I had to learn this too, like envy kills. You have to celebrate the success in other people so that you can see it in yourself. It might not necessarily be one for one, but it’s pretty damn close in my book. So I always make a point of saying, man, you nailed that trade. I could be in a 4% drawdown, whatever it might be at some point in my career, and instead of, because it’s hard to be in a bad mood when you’re trying to celebrate somebody else’s success.
So mindset is more important than strategy. You need to be able to keep yourself on a leash. Want another perspective? Okay. Say you had a lot of money and you were looking for someone to help you manage risk in the markets, whether they were investors, investment fee for service, portfolio managers, or whether they were particular traders. If you looked at your behavior as a third party, would you hire yourself? And if you put in a rule, a speed bump on your buying, then you don’t start taking flight. You think too much. This is the problem with people who are super intellectual. They start bringing in new data every day, and that causes them to have reconsideration. Well, yesterday it wasn’t a trade, but this happened. And with no training, no CFA, no CMT, no degree in finance, no proprietary desk training, they’re going to try to incorporate that data on the fly and make a really important decision on it when they’re ill-equipped, they don’t have the training.
They don’t have a feel worse. Their risk management is all over the place. They one trade, they’re risking 5%. Another trade, they’re risking 1%, then the 5%, which they fell in love with because AI is going to the moon, it’s going to change the world. It’s down 7%, and they were reluctant to take the laws. They were so emotionally invested in the outcome of what that trade was going to mean for them, not just emotionally. So this is the model. When you get emotionally invested in the outcome of any particular trade, it’s a poster girl.
It becomes someone that you become infatuated with. So then what happens is the financial risk management side set sale, it’s going away. It doesn’t exist anymore, and your goal is to make sure that the emotional and psychological, and the financial risk management in and of itself is a unit. They’re spouses, they go together like peas and carrots. Forest gum said it’s pizza and coke, and one can’t become detached from the other. They are conjoined twins. So when you get emotionally invested, that’s why I say risk only, small bits of capital, so that when you become a bonehead or continue to be the bonehead that you always want it to be, and I’ve been there, you don’t do any lasting damage to your portfolio. What happens then? You’re down in a spot. You didn’t honor your stop. You might’ve done even worse and negotiated with your stop and lowered it, and you can’t kind of come to sell it because you know Monday it’s going to rally back up and be above where you got in the first place. And this is a strategy that’s going to kill people. Honestly, it’s worse than the worst disease that’s out there. This is what kills people financially, is they don’t have it in them. They don’t put the thought process in. So again, mindset is more important than strategy. If you’re following one particular setup and you use a price-based entry, that criteria has to exist before you want to put on that trade, despite how you feel, you might not want to put on the trade in fear of losing. You might want to put on the trade because you think it’s going to 10x your account. But if you use a consistent bed size and a price-based entry mechanism, it’ll save you, but you have to have the will to do it. I’m not saying don’t feel your feelings. That’s impossible to do. Just know that they sabotage your account and then what the hell it is that you’re doing. What are you doing this for? Is your goal to accelerate your cash and multiply it? Or is it to bitch and bellyache and be a victim? No one needs those people. There’s too many of ’em.

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The number one rule in trading is to keep your losses small. Once you do everything we spoke about yesterday and you find a set of rules or a trading system or a setup, one setup, you don’t need 85 of them with which you’re compatible, then by all means keep your losses small because what you don’t lose, you don’t have to earn back. That was always the way I looked at it is I thought about it like a competition and I’m in a sports game. If I’m down by four runs and I’ve got one more at bat in the bottom of the ninth inning, it’s like the score is against me, but time is also against me. When you start losing into 15 to 20% of your capital, you put a lot of pressure on your money to perform because if I take $1 to 80 cents, now I’m trading 80 cent dollars and I need to take 25% to get back to breakeven.
The money isn’t the real problem. It’s the pressure that you put on yourself to in turn put the pressure on the money. So what happens? You abandon your trading style. You try something new, you do flyers. Sounds sound familiar. I’ve been there. I’ve been there. I’m not selling you a system to cure it. Guess what? Because you are the system. Listen to this channel. Think of every episode as a little lesson to work on yourself. That’s what’s going to help you the most. There’s a finite amount of trading rules out there. The trick for you is to find the combination of them for your entries, your protective stops as your exits. Obviously your position sizing, which is subjective. Do you add to your winners yes or no? If so, how? And then how do you adjust your protective stops without using price targets knowing that the market is omnipotent and if you catch a wave, you should let it run for as long as possible because your goal is to make money not feel good about yourself by posting up a winning trade that gets old quickly.
Now, some of you, depending on where you are in your trading evolution, might have a different number one, but ultimately I know this and everyone in Market Wizards or whomever has said this till they’re blue in the face, and that is you need to keep your losses small. Man, I can’t tell you suppose your offense is struggling, but you’re keeping your losses small. Look, imagine trading one 10th of 1%. Again, I’m talking to beginners and I’m not talking to the folks who are already doing it. If that’s you, go away. This is not the channel for you. This channel is written and composed of content that’s helping the 19 out of the 20 people that are struggling. I don’t care how well you’re doing it, if you’re already doing it well, this channel’s not for you, so don’t be smug because I just delete that bullshit anyway. I don’t care. This is for the people who are struggling.

Say you’re wrong 20 times in a row, you still have 98% of your capital. You could sleep at night and say, hey, I can take confidence and solace in the fact and build confidence in myself that I’m in the game. I’m doing it. I’m risking real money. I’m not paper trading. I have real risk here. This is real money that I had to earn, and that’s going to do more for you in terms of calibrating your makeup, your system, you as the system with your trading rules and your relationship with the uncertainty that comes with trading and the probabilistic outcomes from the markets. It’s really that easy. People tend to make it more complicated. So at that stage, again, you can always scale up. I know you’re not going to get anywhere, but the point of trading is to not lose. Eventually, yes, you have to make money, but that’s at a different stage. That’s junior and senior year of high school. When you’re a freshman and sophomore, your goal is to try to figure out what the hell works, what’s compatible, what you think.
What do you think you can execute day after day after day after day without thinking about it, even if you had very, very strong feelings, you put your bis stop orders in accordingly because you know it’s probabilistic and you know that six times out of 10 you’re going to lose. That might suck, but you still put your orders in. That’s where you’re trying to get because if you’re a person who’s insecure, every entry is going to feel bad for you. It’s going to give you trepidation. Doesn’t matter if it’s a pullback to a certain moving average or down to support. Doesn’t matter if it’s a two day breakout, a two bar breakout or a 55 day breakout. You’re going to have that same, I lacks a sense of security. If you have moving averages, you’ll find a reason to not trust those.
Now, if you’re on the other side and you’re a risk lover, you have to tone it down a bit because everything’s going to look great. Every person’s going to look attractive. Every stock is going to look like there’s an opportunity, and that’s just not practical. So to me, it’s like if you’re just starting out, keep your losses small so that this way you don’t blow up your account and find yourself in a 30, 40% drawdown where it makes a tough situation worse when you’re despondent because you have no confidence at that point, then you have regrets, and you might even have animosity. Why? Because you bought some guy’s AI bullshit and you trusted them thinking that you could buy your way out of your emotional discomfort. Shake your head this way folks a couple times. Feel the feelings because you cannot, cannot buy your way out of discomfort. There is no set of trading rules that you can buy from another person that’s going to allay or ask wage any of these bad feelings that you have in your body. Then ask yourself this question.

Why do you have bad feelings or feelings that you think you don’t like? Is it because you don’t know your ass from a hole in the ground about what you’re doing? So what do you think you’re supposed to be born with knowing how to trade? It’s an acquired skill and it’s experiential. It’s not intellectual. You have to do it. It’s going to take time as long as you stick with it. Persistence and determination has made more millionaires than some of these day trading rules. I’ll tell you that right now, that there was an overlap in that is probably the reason for success. But in any endeavor in life, someone left a nice comment too. I might as well give him a shout out.
It’s from headwind on a video called The Most Powerful Mindset for success. Gheadwind said, Mike, your speeches go far beyond trading. Man, great episode. Thank your headwind. And that’s true, but so much of this stuff is about life. If you’ve listened to this show, if you’re new here, first of all, thank you for being here. I’ve struggled quite a bit. I wrote about that in the book called The Inner Voice of Trading. You can get the audio book version for free. The link is in the description of this very video in every damn video. Exactly because you get it for free and you find that since we are emotional beings, doesn’t mean we’re acting out of emotion. But if you’re not catatonic like Robert De Niro was in the movie awakenings as a human being, you are an emotional being. You might be born with the ability to keep everything in control like I was, and it’s just dumb ass luck. Good for you. But for a lot of people, especially if they’re highly intellectual, they take losing money as a personal failure and they see it as that they are failures. It’s not just that the trading setup lost money, which could be just dumb randomness, right? If you do a thousand trades, 600 of them are going to lose. It’s hard for intellectual people to understand the difference between accuracy versus mathematical expectation, but I’ve seen more people who had really a lot of talent just have a very reckless understanding of risk management, and they had a lot of promise, but they lost so much money, they became discouraged and they quit. And those people are walking around like drones now in careers they don’t want to be in because they have to be in them. They got to make money and they blew their chance, and whatever trading capital or corpus they had for their account came and went because they didn’t measure twice and cut once. So yes, I think there are probably several factors that might be number one in terms of rules for success in trading, but I think the one that comes down, two affecting everybody, people who have a billion in assets to someone who’s got $10K trying to figure it out, it’s to keep your losses small because when you do that, you can dig out of your drawdown faster. And two, the losses are so insubstantial, unsubstantial that you don’t freak yourself out emotionally and you have to manage both your emotional drawdown as well as your financial drawdown. Remember, again, at the beginning, don’t tell me stuff I already know. You’re risking one 10th of 1%. I understand that there’s not a lot of money to be made, but at the beginning you’re not doing it. You’re doing it to test the waters. You as a tryout, you’re trying to make the team so that you can determine what’s best for you. The p and l is incidental. What you’re trying to do is find a way to behave consistently so that over a longer period of time, hundreds of trades, you can see that you have a certain type of an edge.
You have positive expected value when you do a certain set of rules or take a certain amount of steps in conjunction with one another, and that leads to net of all your losers more money than you had when you started. That’s your trading edge. Once you’ve isolated that, then by all means you can scale and get back or go to a point once and for all where you’re at the threshold of your tolerance for risk at the beginning. You don’t have to worry about making or losing money. And as much as that, you’re trying to get the data to find out what works for you. What can you do all the time? One thing, don’t worry about, I have my opening range trade, then I have my lunch hour trade, and then I have my closing range trade. It’s too much to try to get good at, and you could be discouraged. And again, going back to yesterday, you want the mental edge focus. Focus on one thing and just realize like it’s going to take time. You’re not going to get there tomorrow. I wish you could, but I do these videos to help you understand the mental game of it.

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So the mental edge of trading, as I’ve said before, I think you are the asset. For whatever reason, the marketers want to sell you that there’s some kind of magic formula to trading, and there’s really not. In a very general way, there’s three ways to enter. You can buy pullbacks or momentum stalls. Not my favorite style, but for some reason people think that there’s better value in lower prices. There’s not. You can buy breakouts, which is more my style, or you can use moving average crossovers or this and that, right? So there’s several ways to figure that out and you conjugate that with your temperament and your personality. That’s why I say typically your trading style is your personality. So what happens when you can’t make money? If trading is 80% psychological and emotional, you can say that you’re a four to one favorite in being the problem, meaning the individual.
Now, someone left a comment. I did a video the other day and someone left a great comment. It was on Friday’s episode, so the last one that you saw when discomfort is the more beneficial choice, and it spoke about instant gratification or delayed gratification. If you want to again go back and read it, there’s something called the marshmallow study, and it talked about what happened to the people who wanted instant gratification versus the group of people who wanted delayed gratification. And they studied those. They did what’s called a longitudinal study and stayed with those folks over the next 40 years and the results were really, really amazing.
Anyway, someone left a comment saying, this is really good. Actually, you’re making it clear how the trader can be the edge, not just the strategy. Thank you for leaving the comment. I would absolutely say that you’re the asset to the strategy. It’s just like saying, for example, if you can envision a carpenter and you think of a Phillips head screw a flathead screw, is it the screwdriver that helps make the house or is it the vision of the architect and the carpenter? When you’re a trader, you’re the architect of your own plan really, because it’s up to you. You can be a discretionary trader, you can shoot from the hip, you can do something that’s completely systematized and do it that way. My take is to find something that works really, really good for your personality and stick with it and don’t be afraid to lose the mental edge of it in terms of the trading is really what you bring to the table.
How do you deal with adversity? I know a lot of smart folks, both from the school that I went to and from other top 20 colleges and they had trust accounts their families came from means they really knew how to play the student game pretty well, and they lived very, very comfortable lives. And I saw the head guy from Nvidia talking about this. I think he was mentioning Stanford grads. He talked about character. Now, I’m not going to make any big sweeping judgements. I don’t have the study in front of me, but you have to remember, by the time I got to Wall Street, I had been working for other people for 10 years, and you might say, yay, but you were 12. You were pushing a lawnmower in your hometown when the roads were dirt roads and because of the tire tracks, there was a strip of grass growing down the middle of the street.
It was definitely Tom Sawyer, Huck Finn, kind of podunk stuff. But those people were salt of the earth and they helped shape me to become who I am today. But going up and knocking on the door and saying, hi, Mrs. Edwards, hi Mrs. Albrecht. Hi Mrs. So-and-So would you like me to cut your grass and having them look you in the eye and say, no, thank you. I have somebody already. My son’s going to do it. That builds character. I have to get the strength to ask them for the business, and that’s something that you’re going to do in life.
You’re going to have to ask the employer if you’re in an interview, you have to ask for the job. You just can’t be sitting back saying, I have all these offers. You’re going to come to me, show me what you have shows. No humility. I would never hire somebody like that who wasn’t interested, right? We’re not hiring. So that’s not the issue. But in those moments when I did, I always was looking for somebody who had an edge, and that edge is character. They showed me that they wanted it more. So when you think about the mental legend and around trading, it comes around character and how much can you deal with adversity? Where in your life did you have to deal with adversity? And I don’t necessarily mean like you’re looking for a date this coming Saturday night and someone cancels Friday morning. That’s a drag.
It’s not terrible adversity though, right? Big deal. Find somebody else. You know what I’m saying? So where did you really have to struggle in your life when the outcome was uncertain and you couldn’t use family connections or other types of resources that heretofore had been your go-to type of ethos and way of doing things? For me, I had to carve it all out of stone because I didn’t have any of that traditional family connections. I’m not a nepo baby. I had to do it all by myself and it sucked. There’s no other way to say it. It sucked, which is the reason why I do this show is because it sucked so bad. I remember literally being on my knees saying, God help me because if I have the chance and if I do ever get successful at this, I’ll reciprocate and pay it forward and help people who I’ll never even meet for free.
So I’m not a retail trader, but I do have some similarities and there’s enough overlap that we share a similar struggle in that we all are playing a game of probabilistic outcomes and we have to go about our day each way despite how different our clients might be. For the majority of you watching, you’re probably your own client. And again, if you have like a hundred K or whatever, that’s just where you’re at, it’s okay, you’ll grow it. But your needs, your emotional needs and your financial needs are very, very different from someone who’s running money who can grow his own money as well as get a two and 20 in sfi. Give you an example real quick about the mental edge. If you’re just growing your own money, you want to make a thousand percent a year, maybe a thousand percent a month because you’re tired of being broke like I was.
But when you use other people’s money and you can garner incentive fees, and you even have like say you have 5 million and you did 20% rate of return over the course of the year, 20% might not excite you. I don’t know because I don’t know you, but that would be a million dollars of growth. Say you had a hundred thousand dollars of your own account and you traded 5 million at client funds, you made 20%, you made a million dollars. If you’re working with two in 20 20% incentive fee, you just made $200,000 for yourself. So now your own trading account was a hundred thousand and you brought in $200,000 in incentive fees, which you could really use however you want. For me, it went into my trading account. So the idea, when you look at the folks who have made billions and billions of dollars, whether it’s Paul Tudor Jones or Bruce Kaner, good examples, Ken Griffin, they weren’t just trading their own accounts going hell bent for election again, that to me is a retail trader mindset.
On the institutional side, you’re using other people’s money and that takes the pressure off you to make money. For sure. If you don’t make money, you’re not really getting paid, but you don’t have to shoot for a thousand percent rates of return at that point. And the way Bruce Kaner traded at Commodities Corporation and what he did at Caxton starting in 1983, were worlds apart because at that point, when you’re trading other people’s money and you’re trading 5 0 1 C money, not prop trading money, and in terms of endowments and foundations, the risk profile is very, very different. And so the folks who are allocating look at you and say, okay, if you’re making a hundred percent plus a year, there’s two things that are going on. You were extremely lucky and being in the right place at the right time or you’re trading too big. And that’s why today if you try to seek allocations, the bigger allocators want to see your daily equity. They want to calculate what’s the volatility on your equity. And if it’s too big, this isn’t 1984.
So you have to think about where is your mental edge and what is it that you bring to the table when you’re trading? Because it really comes down to you. There’s only a couple of types of screwdrivers, there’s a couple of hammers, there’s a couple of saws, and it’s your job to mix and match the tools that you need so that you can execute. The screwdriver isn’t going to use itself. You have to figure out how to use it just like a trading tactic. What I find and why I find that retail traders are struggling so much is they’re all over the place. They have monkey mind. They fall victim to watching several of their heroes who are doing it and they’re like, okay, I’m going to try this one this way. Oh, that didn’t work, so lemme go try this guys this way. And they have no discipline yet.
They’re watching all the Jocko willing stuff. Again, you get paid to execute, not know stuff. Sloganeering isn’t going to help you in your darkest moment, right? That’s the thing that I have with stoicism. I love reading that stuff. It’s great, it’s very valuable, but it really takes years to be able to use it because you have to infiltrate the habitual things that come, the habits that you’ve developed around managing money that could be triggered right from your subconscious. So I’d love to read Marcus Aurelius or tell you to go do that and you’ll fix yourself. And I think it eventually, it could definitely add to part of your mental trading edge. But in the moment of knowing when to add and remove risk, it’s just you and your higher power and you need to know what you’re doing it for.
Are you doing it for instant gratification or are you doing it for delayed gratification and bigger sums of money? Because you have to remember, people who buy and hold the s and p, this is going to hit you across the face. It’s not meant to. But think about it. If 19 out of 20 short-term traders fail, that could be folks who are trading two minute bars swing trading, and I know people who could do it well up to say, three day swing trades. Anything in that short term period of time, you need to have a feel. It’s not just the tactics at that point. You need to have something that you bring from you as a person that has nothing to do with trading almost where you have a feel and you can use your instincts if you don’t have those instincts or if you can’t develop those instincts, it’d be very hard for you to trade the short term.
I know because I’ve tried everything under the sun, every different combination that’s out there. And it’s disingenuous for anyone to tell you that you can buy a short term day trading system and make it work because if it doesn’t feel good, you are not going to do it. You’re not going to do it. You don’t have it in you. And it doesn’t mean you’re a bad person. It just means you need to think about it. Folks, what really differentiates trading anymore, it’s your holding period. Because if you think that there are fractals and you believe in that, you could trade breakouts with ticks, one minute bars, five minute bars, 30 minute bars, day trading bars, swing trading bars, whatever those timeframes are for you. So really when you think about differentiating between traders, it really comes down to their holding periods. And that really comes down to one decision is can you take some risk home overnight or over the weekend? And that’s emotional because you could always find a way to represent that risk in your portfolio. So when I say to you, develop your trading mental edge, I’m not saying buy more books, right? And I’ve had Sean McLaughlin on the show, he’s a friend of mine. I really kind of just have my friends on. I’ve had Brian Shannon twice, another good guy and good friend of mine. I know they’re legit and I know they’re not selling schlock.
The trading success comes down to you as the person you need to make your mind up that you’re going to do it despite how you might feel. And if you’re sucking wind in the short end of the duration and the short end of the holding period, trade smaller and hold it longer. Because as I was going to say before, I didn’t get to it. I know people who buy and hold the s and p 500 mutual fund and they outperform people who try to day trade the SPY, and that’s got to be humiliating. So you have to close that emotional gap. Now, granted, those are what’s an investor, a trader, without an exit strategy, it doesn’t mean they’re any better than you, but ultimately they get results. So you can make that comparison between investors because at the end of the day, we’re talking about growing your capital.
So how do you do that? You have to make up in your mind that you’re going to take the actions that are necessary for you to create the alpha, despite how you feel, Mike, I’m scared, okay? I’ve been there too, even as a pro, because I don’t want to do anything to harm the client. They’re trusting me, and I’ve always thought trader portfolio manager, whatever role I was playing, I am a fiduciary. At least that was my mindset. And that their capital, which was very hard to accumulate, is going to be treated like a newborn child.
So you have to understand that if you’re struggling, it’s not about taking a new class, it’s not joining a new discord. It’s not buying more books or going to wherever you’re going to go to learn the how to game. The hardest part of this business is mastering yourself, and that could have been because you have a shitty attitude. It could be because you have bad discipline. It could be because you’re a victim. It might be tied into, like I said, from the Nvidia guys, that you have to go through arduous times to develop more character so that you’ll have the staying power and what I call the sticktoitiveness to be in this business. Because for everything that you may like or not like about me, I’ve paid my dues. I got kicked in the face for four, four and a half years to try to figure it out.
No one could take that away from me. I did the damn work. You see what I’m saying? I didn’t let the failure and the losing of the money, money that I didn’t really have lose psych me out. I had very, very strong feelings. Remember, a 500 point dollars move was a 10% hit to my account, but I figured out how to make it work so that I could make my account grow one day. I’ll tell you the story, it’s too long for here, but I had to make up in my mind, basically, I knew I needed to give myself some breathing room, even if I was up 20% from five to six K, that’s a good number. A thousand dollars was monthly rent. So I wasn’t really looking at it that way, but I really needed to get, I figured 50 K. If I could get to 50 K, then I could have 25,000 for equity trading.
I have another 25,000 for futures margin, and I didn’t have to put on all the risk all at once. I could kind of piecemeal, plus I was using Reg T. They didn’t really have day trading, buying power. So I had the notional value and the implied leverage on the future side. Plus, I could really trade the 20 5K, like 50 K on the equity side. But I was smart to not use leverage on equity until I knew what I was doing and I could make my money. So I didn’t go, okay, 5K, 50 K, that’s a 10 x. I always looked at mathematics properties and said, well, what is the number 10? What are the factors? Well, it’s two times five. It’s two and a half times four. It’s 3.3, three times three. So what could I look at those in terms of the two, if that was the doubling of the account, what could I do to get there and think of it that way and take smaller steps?
Because then otherwise the 10 X was too overwhelming. If I took five to 10, then I could take 10 to 20 and then I could take 20 to 40. You see where I’m going with that? Because that was easier for me to digest and understand, but I had to take my temperament and take a big step back because if you think about trying to make 10 x, you put yourself in a spot where you have to swing for grand slams, and that puts you in a bad spot because then you lose money because of overtrading and you lose money from over-leverage. Anyway, this is an extension of Friday’s episode, which is called When Discomfort is the more Beneficial Choice. I would challenge you if you want to have exponential growth in your trading, then you need to go to the list up the feelings that you don’t want to feel and find a way to learn to live with them and be with those feelings. Like if you’re afraid to take risks, come overnight. Write out why. And I’m not asking you what you think about risk intellectually. I’m asking you to write your feelings down. You don’t have to share it with anybody. Why are you afraid to take risk home from Monday night to Tuesday morning? Why are you afraid to take risk home Friday night to Monday morning? If you know how to manage risk, what does that fear? Where’s that fear come from?
And if you’re honest with yourself, the answer to those questions could shed light onto your behavior. Behavior predicts where you end up, but you’re not going to be able to behave a certain way if you have all these feelings in the way that you’re unwilling to feel. I presume here, if you’re listening, the goal is to overcome this so that you can become a consistently profitable trader. If you can first do that on a very, very small scale, scaling up is the easy part, so you don’t have to do it for big money. Don’t trade for profits at the beginning to build your track record. Do it so that you can get your behavior down consistently. Once you can execute that, scaling up is the easy part. You see what I’m saying? Anyway, if you like this video, there’s more like it just right here.

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Things to learn before trading, man. I mean, this is where the rub is, right? I came to Wall Street thinking I had all these preconceived notions about how money was made, and they were all wrong, so it was a crack upside the head. What you learn from making money and being able to manage risk, add risk, good risks, hopefully remove the bad risks from your portfolio, is that sometimes discomfort is the more beneficial choice, and that’s how you kind of calibrate your system. What do I mean by that? Well, it’s hard to buy higher prices because of anchoring, right? “You’re like, well, it was here. It’s already here. I’ve missed the move. Nvidia broke out at $505, it went to $600. I can’t possibly buy it at $600 because in my mind, it’s already moved up 20 something percent, so I’ve missed the move.” The thing is, you can’t make that determination. You have to be unreasonable. There’s no evidence that moves go to 20% and then they stop.
So there’s all that going on, and what you need to think about is, is there really winning tickers and losing tickers, or is it winning behavior and losing behavior? For me, I live in a paradigm of personal responsibility, so whatever happens is on me. I never blame the market. I never blame an analyst because no one’s holding a gun to my head, telling me to add risk or remove risk. Those are all, at the end of the day, even though it’s systematized, the whole process is very subjective. There’s very little objectivity. So that’s why you need to be brutally honest with yourself because there are outside forces of supply and demand, for example, but whether you have to acknowledge them, ultimately it’s up to you to say, yes, I understand that that’s a data point, but it’s not relevant to my trading style. I can’t give it any weight.
When we think about trading and your trading style, because ultimately it comes in many ways, I think it comes down to your personality as a human being, and we think about two things, instant gratification or delayed gratification. What’s your temperament? How are you in life? Because so much of that can play into your trading decisions, right? Do you want to try to think about having a very, very accurate system that’s scalps or does something intraday where you make your money and you go home? Or if we go back to that famous marshmallow test, that was pretty fascinating. Anyway, I’ll put some links into the description. Were you able to say, okay, look, the kids were given a choice of taking a marshmallow today or getting to the next day, and it wasn’t just that they were judging the people, good or bad, it was they followed those. I think the study was done, I want to say in 1970. It’s been a while since I’ve read it, but as a longitudinal study, they followed those same people for 40 years and they found out that they struggled. They had impulse control, and so they had impulse control issues. And so when I think about the whole thing around trading and how we get paid to execute, we don’t get paid to know things. I’m always thinking about what’s the harder choice and how can I take pleasure in that? And I’m not a masochist, it’s not my thing, but what’s the winning behavior For Kobe? It was getting up at three o’clock and then finding the way to the gym. Even though we live in basically a city where it’s summer all year round, it is cold at three in the morning. It’s comfy to stay in bed, but he built a model that worked for him. So how can you find comfort in the discomfort and what is the discomfort for you? That’s something that you should think about because it’s not financial. It’s emotional. It’s just money.
And I think about…I’m friends with Bas Rutten – MMA guy, and he has a shirt. It has a saying that he’s kind of known for saying he’s like, “It’s only pain. It can’t hurt you.”… And so when I think about trading, I think people look at the money and they put too much importance on it. It’s really just the way you keep score because what you do with your money, what I do with my money, who cares? You know what I mean? Your goals are personal, and I can’t say that they’re good or bad financially, whatever your financial goals are. I do know that in trading, going back to yesterday’s lesson, you need to have an edge edges expressed in a very simple sense of having positive expected value based on one simple setup that you can repeat over and over and over again without making any adjustment to that particular rule.
Again, discomfort might be the beneficial choice. Is your goal to feel good or do you want to make money? Do you want instant gratification or can you live with delayed gratification? Because I can see in an armchair quarterback kind of a way, a correlation between trading styles and certainly holding periods. It might feel good to make a small bit of money today, so you want the emotional win. I always knew I had to grow my account. Why? Because I was a broke-ass-bitch. That’s why, and I didn’t want to. It’s not that I didn’t think there was anything good. I didn’t have any judgment about being that it was just life was a struggle, and by the time I had gotten to Wall Street, I had already been working like half my life, grinding to make running money. There was no other place the money was going to come from, so I had to do it myself. So I brought all that blue collar baggage with me about putting in long hours and this and that, making your boss look good. At the end of the day, none of that mattered because it wasn’t anything I could translate into a trading model. So every bit of data that you come to, you have to ask yourself the question, can I incorporate this into my trading, into my trading model? Yes or no, it’s black or white, and you can’t think of intuition when you’re starting because you don’t have any.
You can develop it. I’ll give you that, but you’re better off sticking to rigid rules and then getting fancy after when is after, I don’t know, six months, again, delayed gratification. Can you put the time in day after day after day and act consistently? It’s the consistency that’s going to get you the results that you want, and that result in the beginning might be just find the trading rules that have positive expected value. IE edge. If you’re impulsive and you need the dopamine hits, you might need to trade short term. What happens though when you can’t develop a feel? You’re going to have to find a way to get those dopamine hits from another spot. It’s not going to come from trading.
Now, I wish I knew all of this because it would’ve helped me figure out a better trading style for me early on. Remember what I said, if you don’t know who you are, it doesn’t matter what you know about really trading or anything in life because you’re going to look to get your emotional needs fed. It’s just a natural order of things. We’re pleasure seekers, and it’s in through a million years of evolution. That fight or flight mechanism is in there. What are you doing it for? And I’ve mentioned on the show in the training, we talk about this a great deal. There’s two payoffs for every trade. There’s the emotional and the psychological, and then there’s the financial. You need to know which one you’re doing it for. Maybe there’s a blend of both. For me, I take away the emotional part of the payoff of the trade because I take my pleasure in the fact that I can execute the same discipline day after day, so it’s really the pre-trade where I get my emotional win.
Can I do my postmortem? Can I do my pre-reading set up regimen to know what my wishlist is and where my orders are? Which ones am I going to enter by myself? Which ones do I call to the floor? And having that model down, that’s what gives me solace is in my preparation, so that’s where I get my emotional win. I’m powerless over the results of the trade. The best I can do is put on the trades where I know I’ve had an edge. That’s the financial side, so I do get the emotional and the financial, but they’re in two stages. I don’t get them

From the payoff, the winner loss of the trade, so steal from that. Think about it. How are you built? Do you need instant gratification? Do you need the dopamine hit or do you need the financial reward? And which one on a scale of one to 10 is more important to you? Because if you know that, again, self-knowledge is key, you can kind of go and determine what a better trading model might be for you. Even an asset class, if you know that you don’t mind striking out a lot, but you like to hit home runs, you might be able to think about maybe trading options because you can define your loss and you have lots of upside. If you buy calls, if you have puts, the thing can only go to zero, but that can kind of help you make the decision when you kind of know what emotional feedback that you need because it’s going to be there, especially when you’re starting out.
Over time, you can become numb to it because then it’s just a business. It’s like, okay, here’s the setup. Oh, there’s that one over there. In a particular ticker, I’ll just put the trade on over thousands of trades. I know I’m going to make money. I don’t necessarily care about the outcome of this particular trade. If the faster you can get to that spot, the better off you’re going to be because then you could shrug your shoulders of the weight of the world. Don’t look at your p and l because if you’re doing something that has positive expected value over time, that’s mathematically proven that you’ll make money. Expected values don’t go from plus five to minus five overnight. They can change a little bit, but they don’t waver that much anyway.

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The most important thing in your trading is your trading edge. And for some of you, without getting into it, because probably a myriad ways to look at this, it is the expected value of your trade, right? The expected value takes into account what’s your frequency of winning. Obviously that compliment and of winning and losing has to add up to a hundred. And then you take into account the magnitude of your average winner, the magnitude of your average loser. There’s a video on the YouTube channel already about it, so you can go check it out. I’ll see if I can drop a link in the description, but at the end of the day, to me, that’s the most important thing because that’s really the, for whatever system, mechanized system that you’re trading, whatever chart setup you’re looking at, and if you’re just starting out, it should be one that is what tells you to put the trade on or not. You need to have an edge and to simplify things. For those of you who are struggling and cannot find the consistency that we spoke about yesterday and how to build your confidence, you want to try to simplify your trading rules back, test them. If you don’t have actual trades, you can get the expected value from back testing. That might come as a shock to you because they don’t speak about it enough, but it is possible to run your entry rules subjectively choose a risk unit that’s subjective, figure out how much you want to risk dollar wise, percent wise, whatever it might be, and then simulate that entry and exit system. That risk management system to me robustly over several dozen names rather than trying to focus on one instrument. And the reason I say that, because some of you were like, I’m just dedicated to trading MNQs right now. The problem with that is that when you’re starting out and you should only be trading one setup to get good at it so that you can set and develop a feel, okay, there might not be enough setups for you to hit your goals. What’s a bad goal? I want to learn how to trade. It’s a bad goal, and I’m not even going to tell you why, because I want you to figure it out for yourself. Leave a note in the comments for me. When I see people struggle, my heart breaks because they overcomplicate things and ultimately, whatever it is that you think you want to learn, remember I said we don’t get paid to know stuff. We get paid to execute.

That’s the key to everything in life. Can you execute, even if you’re an employee, can you create more financial abundance than what you’re getting paid for? That’s how companies work. And in return, you get a guaranteed paycheck, you get benefits, this and that, right? So there are trade-offs to make. I didn’t want those trade-offs in my life. I chose my own path. So I’m not talking out of both sides of my mouth, but it comes down to a personal preference. I don’t judge you based on because I didn’t walk a mile in your shoes. I didn’t live with you. I didn’t know what your environment’s like. I don’t know who your family members are. I don’t know what the rest is you had to live through or overcome. I can’t tell you what’s best, but I do know that if you are willing to look within yourself and see what you’re working on and then conjugate that with the results that you’re getting in management, we used to say, “you’ve got to change the man or you’ve got to change the man,” which of course is meant to sound like a Dr. Seuss rhyme in management. You’re like, okay, look, here’s what’s not working. Let’s have a discussion about it. Why? Perfect. I hear you loudly and clearly. Here are the resources that we have. However, there has to come a point in time where we get the results that we both need. And so here’s what happens, and this is what a good manager would say, right? Because people don’t leave bad jobs, they leave bad managers. So I was always crystal clear with people and say, here’s what needs to happen and here’s what needs to happen by when. Here’s what happens if it doesn’t happen, so that everyone’s crystal clear. Are we clear about stuff? Because typically it comes down to behavior. We’re not getting the results that we need for this. It makes sense.
Would you agree yes or no? These were your goals that you stated you weren’t under any type of duress. You put your goals down, you haven’t hit them. Why? What more resources do you think you need from me? Or that I can get access to help you because I’m willing to do it. I’m the guy who jumps on the grinis for people. You probably probably doesn’t come as a shock to people because when you win, my heart’s full and I don’t care if you pay me because karma wise it will come back to me in another way. You see what I’m saying? That’s why I do the show. You all know that because when I started, there wasn’t anyone to help me and I felt scared and I knew I could do it and I had zero resources. So anyway, and so that’s to change the demand internally. If those parameters don’t work over the next three, six months, whatever it might be, then you have to change the person by physically changing them, getting a new person in the seat to get the job done. So you can borrow from that and say, perfect, put yourself in my shoes. Change the camera. Now you’re speaking to me. Would you hire yourself? What is the asset? What is it that you bring to the table?
I don’t allocate. I don’t typically make introductions. I don’t the politics of it. I’m not a third party marketer. I have helped people understand what marketing is, especially if they’re traders and they’re Mr. Inside, so to speak. There’s an episode, an audio only episode that you can see on Spotify or if you go to Martin Chronicle in the top right corner, there’s a search bar that says, search my site or something like that. And if you type in the word backers, you’ll see an episode that comes in how to find trading partners who would put up money and how to bring them on, how maybe help you build a company around that. There are certain industry that are kind of standard, but ultimately what matters for if you’re a trader is do you have an edge? And that’s the most important thing because if you can express an edge, then there’s really no reason to put a trade on the edge is the whole reason to do it.
And for those of you just starting, think of it as positive expected value. That comes from consistent behavior. Can you do the same damn boring thing every day or you do need more action? If you are less than two years, two years or less in the business, you should be focusing on one thing and mastering that. I’m sorry if you were told that it can happen easy and fast and you could make a lot of money working 20 minutes a day. I look at that stuff and I think as a skit for Saturday Night Live, that’s comical. Some of you, very few of you, one in 10,000 will be born with a knack or a good sense of timing or have a good feel. You probably already have that in other areas of your life, so that’s a good thing. But it’s extremely rare if you don’t have an edge and you can’t express that edge. If you can’t tell me what your edge is in two or three sentences, you don’t have it. You can develop it. You just have to keep working at it, but it’s not that sophisticated. Simplify, simplify, simplify. It’s a great exercise for you to do that. Think about it. If you can’t explain to me what it is that you do and you have an edge and you can’t do it in two sentences, it sounds to me that you’re confused. And then I start to think like I’m happy the person made money. I wish them financial abundance, but at that point, I can’t tell if the person just has no sense addiction and can’t enunciate and say specifically what’s on their mind or if they were just in the right place at the right time and they’re really the victim of luck. Therefore no hypothetical allocation. You need to have clarity of thought, the clarity of thought, right? Thoughts, feelings, actions and
the behavior or the actions that predicts where you end up in every area of your life. So that’s why I like to think about expected value. Think about the expected value. If you don’t have enough of actual trades or if you try to do 75 different things, the expected value is not worth much. Why? Well, because you’re all over the place and you’re not likely to replicate that same path going forward because you were throwing darts. That’s why I say if you really want to get good focus on one damn thing, days and weeks and months are going to go by.
But that’s the nature of the beast. If you feel like you, oh, I have fear of missing out. I have fear that other people are making money, I’m very competitive. The competition is with yourself. It’s not some funding challenge, it’s not some trading competition. That’s all macho man bullshit. You compete with yourself. Kobe wanted to win so much that he’d be out on the court when it was still dark outside working on his craft when he had already had personal accolades. There was something within him that made him want to win. And I’m not even a basketball fan. I haven’t been to a basketball game in 20 years, but I appreciate the mindset that’s the key.
Baseball’s probably worse, hardest sport in the world hit a round object with a round object. You fail 70% of the time just like trading still end up in the hall of fame. So if you don’t know what your edge is, you should go inward and try to determine what that is. What is it that you think you bring to the table? Because it’s not in a chart pattern, it’s your ability to focus on doing one thing that works over and over and over again, not for the excitement, but because it only makes sense for you if you’re a capitalist and you want to make money to express a trade. When you know that setup or that mechanized rule or that moving average crossover is one that has over time over thousands of trades, positive expected value.
If you’re making stuff up on the flight, think about it. It’s really an act of desperation and I know that happens when you’re underfunded. Why I started, I was underfunded. I’ve lived it, and it’s very frustrating. You have to make choices and the opportunity cost is enormous, but when you’re underfunded, you find yourself doing shit out of desperation because you just don’t have enough money and you don’t have enough. If you don’t have enough margin, you have to find yourself trading these micro contracts where the opportunities just aren’t there as frequently as you would want. Every day is not a trading opportunity. It might be a revelation for you.
And that’s the hard part is knowing when to sit on your hands because sometimes, again, I’ll leave you with this as a speculator, you have one thing going for you that’s an enormously powerful tool, and it might be counter emotional. It’s certainly counterintuitive in that you have the right to not participate. Pensions, they have to be invested endowments, they have to be invested. Investors in their 401k who are outworking jobs, for the most part, they’re buy and hold, so they kind of have to be invested. But as a trader, speculator in stocks, foreign exchange options, commodity futures, the ability and the right for you to sit on your hands is enormously powerful because it helps emphasize the fact that you should only be putting on trades when you have an edge, a definable edge that you know can replicate. That might mean you sitting and waiting like a sniper, not for sniper like entries, but just waiting for your setup and waiting and waiting.
It’s probably easier to do if you’re looking across 150, 200 instruments rather than trying to find something on one instrument day after day after day because you don’t have enough money. I talked about the ills of being underfunded. You find yourself doing things out of desperation because the pain of not trading is actually bigger than the need to make or lose the money. You have to be emotionally engaged. But I feel like this week should really help you put things in perspective because when you think about the pros or anyone that you look up to, they may have their set up and sure over 30 years you can probably develop a couple of them, but keep it simple. Define, get one trading edge. You have to understand how rare that is, but it’s what makes or breaks people as traders is they have a trading edge. They can articulate it. Can you write it out on a piece of paper? You don’t have to send it to me. In fact, I don’t even want to see it. I just don’t. In some level I’m apathetic. But I know that that’s what’s most important for you is to have that edge, be able to express the edge.
That’s the key. It’s why the casino makes money. They have an edge. The game for you. You’re thinking you’re getting what they call economic utility. Another fancy way of saying pleasure because it’s fun to gamble, I suppose. It was never fun for me to lose money, but as long as they have the edge and you have the money, you’re seeking fun. They’re trying to make money. If you’re selling a stock, you can’t be bullish. You might not be bearish, but you’re certainly not bullish anymore. So even in the world, you have these opposing ideologies. You’re going to Vegas or Atlantic City for fun and they’re operating to make money and create a fun environment for you, give you a back rub, we’ll bring you free drinks, whatever it might be so that you have opposing ideologies, your different needs that are getting met. But as long as the casino outside of say, blackjack or poker, they have an edge on everything.
That’s why they’re in business. So you have to make yourself the casino by finding a rule, an entry rule with a corresponding exit based on a position size that makes sense for you, which is a subjective choice that you can follow day after day after day, and do that consistently, then grow from there. You have to be patient. So whatever feelings that you have to feel when you have to be patient are things that you’re going to have to reconcile and come to terms with. It’s not going to happen overnight, and I’m sorry if someone gave you, sold you a bill, a bunch of goods or services that made it sound like it was going to be easy, but it’s not. I wish it was different.